Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 9.062630e-05 0.000108 0.000126 0.000147 0.000170 0.000194 0.000222
2025-01-05 6.772764e-05 0.000090 0.000115 0.000146 0.000182 0.000221 0.000269
2025-01-12 5.270791e-05 0.000076 0.000104 0.000140 0.000183 0.000232 0.000292
2025-01-19 4.309018e-05 0.000068 0.000099 0.000140 0.000190 0.000250 0.000325
2025-01-26 3.340116e-05 0.000057 0.000089 0.000132 0.000188 0.000255 0.000340
2025-02-02 2.880672e-05 0.000053 0.000087 0.000135 0.000197 0.000274 0.000373
2025-02-09 2.432030e-05 0.000049 0.000084 0.000135 0.000203 0.000287 0.000399
2025-02-16 2.173819e-05 0.000047 0.000084 0.000139 0.000213 0.000308 0.000434
2025-02-23 1.893647e-05 0.000044 0.000082 0.000140 0.000221 0.000324 0.000462
2025-03-02 1.474108e-05 0.000038 0.000075 0.000134 0.000218 0.000327 0.000474
2025-03-09 1.144228e-05 0.000033 0.000069 0.000129 0.000215 0.000329 0.000485
2025-03-16 9.481558e-06 0.000030 0.000067 0.000128 0.000218 0.000340 0.000507
2025-03-23 7.628177e-06 0.000027 0.000065 0.000129 0.000226 0.000357 0.000541
2025-03-30 5.711813e-06 0.000024 0.000061 0.000127 0.000229 0.000370 0.000570
2025-04-06 3.906620e-06 0.000020 0.000056 0.000122 0.000228 0.000375 0.000587
2025-04-13 2.884877e-06 0.000018 0.000054 0.000122 0.000232 0.000390 0.000617
2025-04-20 1.730804e-06 0.000015 0.000048 0.000116 0.000228 0.000390 0.000628
2025-04-27 1.318397e-06 0.000014 0.000047 0.000118 0.000236 0.000409 0.000664
2025-05-04 9.045850e-07 0.000012 0.000046 0.000117 0.000241 0.000423 0.000694
2025-05-11 7.108369e-07 0.000012 0.000046 0.000121 0.000251 0.000446 0.000736
2025-05-18 4.981241e-07 0.000011 0.000045 0.000122 0.000259 0.000464 0.000771
2025-05-25 2.176335e-07 0.000009 0.000041 0.000117 0.000254 0.000464 0.000782
2025-06-01 7.499981e-08 0.000007 0.000037 0.000112 0.000251 0.000465 0.000794